YTD : 11-9, +5.0
4:00 / ESPN : Michigan St. @ #16 Purdue — Purdue -9.5, O/U 140
Purdue’s been running a lot of 4 out 1 in on the offensive side of the ball and really letting Swanigan and Haas go to work inside with spot up shooters all around the perimeter. This has been very successful thusfar and the Boilers actually lead the Big Ten from range at 41% as a team. The guards are extremely underrated in my opinion and the Edwards boys have been a big boost this season. Sparty appears to have finally gotten their shit together and it’s about time Izzo realized that Cassius Winston MUST be running the show (not Tum Tum). Winston leads the entire nation in Assist % (Ast rate per min played) and actually a threat to score. Harris, Ellis and Langford have stepped their games up to take some of the pressure off Bridges and Nick Ward has turned into a monster inside and should be a pain in the ass for the league for the next 4 years. I love where this Michigan St. team is going and they will keep this one well under the number with a great chance of pulling out the victory.
BET : Michigan St. +9.5 — 2U
4:00 / ESPN2 : #17 Florida St. @ Pitt — FSU -6.5, O/U 153.5
The Noles burned us last weekend @ND but we’re rolling with them against a Pitt team that ranks last in the conference in nearly every defensive category. Pitt is last in the nation in TO% and in the mid 200’s in FG%, while FSU ranks out as one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country. Too many weapons here for the Noles and Pitt will need to get very, very hot from downtown to keep this within single digits, as FSU does not allow a damn thing in the paint.
BET : Florida St. -6.5 — 3U
6:00 / BTN : Nebraska @ Ohio St. — OSU -3, O/U 140
Nebraska has hung tough this season, despite one of the nation’s toughest schedules and losing two key pieces in Ed Morrow and Anton Gill for much of the season. This team lives and dies with their 1-2 guard combo in Tai Webster and Glynn Watson. They have a real weakness inside, although Jordy Tshimanga has continued to improve in his freshman campaign. Ohio State has been one of the most frustrating teams to watch all season because they possess the talent to be in the tournament without a problem but their drive is extremely low. The lone Senior on the team, Marc Loving, has been the most to blame for the poor leadership and low energy of this team but I think he is seeing the end coming because he has really stepped up in the last 3 weeks. Loving had 15-11 the last time these two met and should top both of those numbers in this one with the way he is playing recently combined with no viable options to guard him from the Huskers. The Buckeyes have to get plenty of post touches because Thompson and Potter will have mismatches inside all game long and can then kick out for 3’s, where Nebraska is last in the league allowing 43% from range. The Buckeyes haven’t blown anyone out in a while but should cover three fairly easily.
BET : Ohio St. -3 — 4U